Is Dubai, UAE Safe to Travel Right Now?
Medium RiskRISK RATING
AUDIT VERDICT · THIS WEEK
Dubai, UAE holds a medium risk profile as of 2026-07-07, based on 114 live OSINT sources and prediction-market signals (Iran leader end of 2026: incumbent-stays 84%). Best booking window: Mar–Apr. Verify latest official advisories before departure.
Risk Signal Breakdown
OSINT Feed Coverage
114/194 sources live
■ stable
Regional Transition Risk (Polymarket)
17% — Iran leader end of 2026
◆ volatile
Security Advisory Feed
Active, no ban
■ stable
Best Booking Window
Mar–Apr
▼ cooling
Evidence Audit Trail
01
OSINT Signal Baseline
114/194 intelligence feeds reporting normally (securityAdvisories, weatherAlerts, diseaseOutbreaks, flightDelays, predictionMarkets).
2026-07-07
02
Prediction Market
Polymarket "Iran leader end of 2026": incumbent-stays priced at 0.835. Regional transition risk 17%.
2026-07-07
03
Data Pipeline
Snapshot via pmxt-feed + monitor health gateway; auto-refreshed on publish cycle.
2026-07-07
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