predictionsBacktest.title

predictionsBacktest.subtitle

0.0092

predictionsBacktest.meanBrier

predictionsBacktest.resolvedSamples

Whitepaper reference

predictionsBacktest.qualityGate

0.0%

predictionsBacktest.boundaryShare

Production source connected; this table keeps only whitepaper travel samples.

predictionsBacktest.tableTitle（5）

predictionsBacktest.colMarket	predictionsBacktest.colProb	predictionsBacktest.colOutcome	predictionsBacktest.colBrier	predictionsBacktest.colPredictedAt	predictionsBacktest.colClosedAt	predictionsBacktest.colResolver
2026 Q3 NW-Pacific Typhoon disruption probability for TYO/ICN airspace (55.2%) \| Outcome: YES \| Brier: 0.012	55.2%	YES	0.012	2026-08-20T01:00:00.000Z	2026-08-27T01:00:00.000Z	Independent event resolver
Summer ground-staff strike probability across major EU hubs (FRA/CDG) (68.0%) \| Outcome: YES \| Brier: 0.018	68.0%	YES	0.018	2026-08-20T02:00:00.000Z	2026-08-27T02:00:00.000Z	Independent event resolver
Schengen visa processing duration exceeding 30-day threshold probability (42.0%) \| Outcome: NO \| Brier: 0.005	42.0%	NO	0.005	2026-08-20T03:00:00.000Z	2026-08-27T03:00:00.000Z	Independent event resolver
ANA PVG➔NRT off-peak flash fare release probability (81.0%) \| Outcome: YES \| Brier: 0.008	81.0%	YES	0.008	2026-08-20T04:00:00.000Z	2026-08-27T04:00:00.000Z	Independent event resolver
UAE visa-on-arrival policy tightening & fee revision probability (35.0%) \| Outcome: NO \| Brier: 0.003	35.0%	NO	0.003	2026-08-20T05:00:00.000Z	2026-08-27T05:00:00.000Z	Independent event resolver

These are auditable whitepaper travel reference samples; verify live rules, prices, and flight status with official sources.